3 Things That Could Prevent a Bitcoin All-Time High This Year

By: cryptosheadlines|2025/05/06 14:15:01
0
Share
copy
Airdrop Is Live CaryptosHeadlines Media Has Launched Its Native Token CHT. Airdrop Is Live For Everyone, Claim Instant 5000 CHT Tokens Worth Of $50 USDT. Join the Airdrop at the official website, CryptosHeadlinesToken.com Bitcoin and crypto markets could face headwinds preventing new peaks if certain scenarios play out, wrote Bitcoin researcher and author Timothy Peterson.The economist provided the analysis to counter his bullish prediction that BTC could reach $135,000 in the next three months or so. Continued poor or declining sentiment could impact crypto markets should things not improve soon.The UMich consumer sentiment survey is bad, trending worse, while the AAII investor sentiment is 20% bullish, 60% bearish, “a huge gap and also trending worse,” he observed.Meanwhile, the NAAIM Equity Exposure index is a respectable 60% allocation to equity, “but still well below the 80% associated with bull markets,” he said.Three things that could prevent a new Bitcoin ATH.Thing 1: Continued poor or declining sentiment. UMich consumer sentiment survey is bad trending worse; AAII investor sentiment is 20% bullish, 60% bearish, a huge gap, and also trending worse. NAAIM Equity Exposure index is a... https://t.co/T3jdA3khyn pic.twitter.com/AOVOra1jBb— Timothy Peterson (@nsquaredvalue) May 3, 2025The Fed and Event RiskThe Federal Reserve could also impact Bitcoin prices since markets have already priced in approximately three rate cuts for the remainder of 2025.“Risk assets have rallied on the expectation that looser monetary policy will return, boosting liquidity and supporting higher multiples,” he said before adding Bitcoin’s recent strength reflects this forward-looking optimism.However, if the Fed fails to deliver these cuts, the market narrative will shift, choking these speculative flows.“For Bitcoin, which thrives on liquidity and risk appetite, the absence of rate cuts could stall momentum or even trigger a drawdown.”The Fed is expected to keep rates unchanged at its meeting on Wednesday, May 7.Finally, event risk, or unforeseen macro-level shocks that cannot be predicted in timing or magnitude, can cause severe disruption to financial markets.“For Bitcoin, these risks bypass conventional forecasting tools and risk models, creating sharp breaks from trend behavior.”Peterson cited examples that included nuclear accidents, large-scale terrorist attacks on critical infrastructure, cyberattacks on financial systems, another pandemic, or massive natural disasters.Bitcoin behaves like a “high-beta asset” under these conditions, “subject to indiscriminate selling, access limitations, and temporary narrative collapse,” he said, concluding the analysis on May 5.BTC Price OutlookDoom and gloom aside, Bitcoin was still trading within its rangebound channel, where it has been for the past fortnight.The asset has swung from below $93,750 in late trading on Monday to retap $95,000 during Tuesday morning trading in Asia.BTC had retreated slightly at the time of writing when it was changing hands for $94,380, according to CoinGecko.SPECIAL OFFER (Sponsored)Binance Free $600 (CryptoPotato Exclusive): Use this link to register a new account and receive $600 exclusive welcome offer on Binance (full details).LIMITED OFFER for CryptoPotato readers at Bybit: Use this link to register and open a $500 FREE position on any coin!Source link

You may also like

Mining Companies' Great Migration: Some Have Already Secured $12.8 Billion in AI Orders

Mining companies turn to AI computing power, with no turning back.

What Is Vibe Coding? How AI Is Changing Web3 & Crypto Development

What is vibe coding? Learn how AI coding tools are lowering the barrier to Web3 development and enabling anyone to build crypto applications.

The parent company of the New York Stock Exchange strategically invests in OKX: The intentions behind the $25 billion valuation

Continuous cases show that cryptocurrency exchanges are becoming a battleground for traditional finance and tech giants, while also serving as an important stronghold for entering the strategic landscape of Web3.

WEEX P2P update: Country/region restrictions for ad posting

To improve ad security and matching accuracy, WEEX P2P now allows advertisers to restrict who can trade with their ads based on country or region. Advertisers can select preferred counterparty locations for a safer, smoother trading experience.

 

I. Overview

When publishing P2P ads, advertisers can now set the following:

Allow only counterparties from selected countries or regions to trade with your ads.

With this feature, you can:

Target specific user groups more precisely.Reduce cross-region trading risks.Improve order matching quality.

 

II. Applicable scenarios

The following are some common scenarios:

Restrict payment methods: Limit orders to users in your country using supported local banks or wallets.Risk control: Avoid trading with users from high-risk regions.Operational strategy: Tailor ads to specific markets.

 

III. How to get started

On the ad posting page, find "Trading requirements":

Select "Trade with users from selected countries or regions only".Then select the countries or regions to add to the allowlist.Use the search box to quickly find a country or region.Once your settings are complete, submit the ad to apply the restrictions.

 

When an advertiser enables the "Country/Region Restriction" feature, users who do not meet the criteria will be blocked when placing an order and will see the following prompt:

If you encounter this issue when placing an order as a regular user, try the following solutions.

Choose another ad: Select ads that do not restrict your country/region, or ads that allow users from your location.Show local ads only: Prioritize ads available in the same country as your identity verification.

 

IV. Benefits

Compared with ads without country/region restrictions, this feature provides the following improvements.

Aspect

Improvement

Trading security

Reduces abnormal orders and fraud risk

Conversion efficiency

Matches ads with more relevant users

Order completion rate

Reduces failures caused by incompatible payment methods

V. FAQ

Q1: Why are some users not able to place orders on my ad?
A1: Their country or region may not be included in your allowlist.

 

Q2: Can I select multiple countries or regions when setting the restriction?
A2: Yes, multiple selections are supported.

 

Q3: Can I edit my published ads?
A3: Yes. You can edit your ad in the "My Ads" list. Changes will take effect immediately after saving.

What are the key highlights of this year's Ethereum's most important upgrade, the Glamsterdam upgrade?

The Ethereum Race Against Time, Perhaps Truly a Quest for Revival

March 6 Key Market Update You Can't Miss! | Alpha Morning Report

.Top News: Recent Developments in US-Iran Conflict, Military Action to Escalate Further, Trump Rejects Soleimani's Son Taking Over Token Unlock: $W, $RED

Popular coins

Latest Crypto News

Read more