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Analysis: Market size is predicted to reach $95.5 billion by 2035, with a projected CAGR of nearly 47%.
BlockBeats News, December 29, 2025: The prediction market is at a key turning point. The weekly trading volume of major platforms like Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, Myriad has surpassed $2 billion, transforming rapidly from a previously uncertain regulatory status to a vital new infrastructure in the crypto and finance market.
Looking back at the end of 2024, the U.S. election became a turning point for the prediction market. Polymarket accurately bet on Trump's victory in the presidential election, setting record-high trading volumes and influence, but also facing regulatory pressures such as being banned in France and investigated by the FBI. Subsequently, the U.S. CFTC changed its stance, openly reflecting on the regulatory approach that had led to the "legal uncertainty trap" and clearing obstacles for platforms like Kalshi.
Entering post-2025, the prediction market quickly went mainstream:
Robinhood teamed up with Kalshi to launch the NCAA "March Madness" prediction market
Polymarket invested $112 million to acquire the CFTC-licensed exchange QCX, paving the way to re-enter the U.S. market
ICE (NYSE's parent company) invested $2 billion, pushing Polymarket's valuation to $90 billion
The Trump Media Group and Crypto.com launched Truth Predict
CNN, CNBC, Google, NHL, among others, partnered with Kalshi
Industry reports predict that the prediction market could reach $95.5 billion in 2035, with a nearly 47% compound annual growth rate. Meanwhile, emerging platforms like Limitless, Myriad saw multi-fold growth in trading volume within months. While regulatory friction persists in states like Texas and New York, it has not been able to stop the industry's expansion.
Industry insiders point out that the prediction market is akin to the early days of DeFi, with the ecosystem built around it, including trading terminals, data aggregation, collateral applications, taking shape.
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