Gambling + AI: Understanding "GambleFAI" in One Article

By: blockbeats|2025/02/24 19:15:03
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Original Article Title: GambleFAI: The Rise of Autonomous Betting Agents
Original Article Author: 0xJeff, AI Investor
Original Article Translation: ChatGPT

Editor's Note: The article discusses the evolution of GambleFi, its rise in 2023, marginalization in 2024 amidst market shifts and the trend of meme coins, and its emergence in 2025 as GambleFAI, combining the strengths of decentralized gambling and AI technology. With the advancement of AI in Large Language Models (LLMs) and machine learning, GambleFAI enables players to make more precise predictions, significantly improving their win rates. AI agents are driving innovation in the industry, enhancing not only prediction accuracy but also offering players higher potential returns, marking a technological leap forward in the gambling sector.

Below is the original content (reorganized for readability):

TL;DR

GambleFi is a narrative that emerged in the latter half of 2023, providing a simple value proposition — through global crypto liquidity, enabling billions of users to access casino games and prediction markets democratically.

Casinos like Rollbit and Shufflecom, acting as the house for casino games and taking commissions on sports betting odds (the "vig"), generate hundreds of millions in revenue annually.

This narrative gained more attention in 2023 due to the impact of the bear market — in such a market environment, the risk-return ratio of betting on casinos or sports betting seemed more attractive than purchasing crypto tokens. However, this situation saw a sharp turnaround in 2024 as market sentiment turned extremely bullish, with events like the BTC halving and figures like Trump embracing crypto, shifting the market's focus.

The rise of Pump.fun and the arrival of the meme coin season sparked a frenzy, where celebrities, animals, startups, and anything imaginable were used to launch meme coins. Stories of ordinary anonymous individuals turning $500 into $6.9 million became commonplace. This shifted gamblers' mindset — why risk a 50:50 or 33:66 odds bet at a casino for a 2x or 3x return when they could get a 10x to 100x return through meme coin investments? Thus, the GambleFi narrative gradually waned as players turned to trading meme coins rather than betting at casinos.

By 2024, Polymarket had become a leading prediction market platform, especially in political events like the 2024 US Presidential Election. Known as the "source of truth," Polymarket provided real-time predictions, with more capital being bet on outcomes to reflect public sentiment. Its reputation continued to grow, becoming a cited source by global media in various markets—not limited to elections, but also covering sports, cryptocurrency, AI, celebrities, hacker events, geopolitics, and more.

The Birth of GambleFAI

Fast forward to 2025. Due to the meme coin craze and the fork of Pump.fun, the meme coin market was in chaos, with millions of tokens emerging, and anyone could launch a token within minutes. Compared to traditional gambling or prediction markets, the risk-reward of cryptocurrency seemed less attractive.

Meanwhile, AI and AI Agents progressed rapidly—Large Language Models (LLMs) became more sophisticated, gained reasoning capabilities, automated workflows, and provided cross-industry domain knowledge, including GambleFi. Without personally analyzing football teams, tactics, player performances, and historical data, gamblers could now rely on AI for strategic insights.

GambleFAI emerged.

GambleFAI is the fusion of GambleFi and AI, combining decentralized gambling with AI-driven data synthesis and predictive capabilities. With AI advancements, gamblers no longer faced sub-40% odds due to information scarcity. Instead, retail players could leverage AI-provided insights and machine learning models to increase their win rates to over 55% to 60%.

Key Players of GambleFAI

We have witnessed this phenomenon unfolding gradually among participants in various fields:

Billy Bets


@AskBillyBets is the first self-sovereign betting Agent powered by @sportstensor, running on Bittensor Subnet 41 (SN41).

Gambling + AI: Understanding


Sportstensor is building the most accurate decentralized sports prediction algorithm. It aggregates intelligence from competing machine learning models, rewarding long-term discoveries of advantages over short-term victories.


Billy Bets started betting on Polymarket with a $100,000 liquidity pool. So far, it has generated $24,000 in profit, with $6,000 used for $BILLY buyback and burn.

DKING

@thedkingdao is the first autonomous sports betting DAO, running on the @webuildscore Subnet 44 (SN44).


Score integrates computer vision and prediction models, providing real-time match analysis, tracking micro-events, player patterns, and game insights to enhance betting intelligence.

VLLMs annotate content, marking player actions in soccer matches. This data is then used to further train models for accurate player assessment and prediction.


DKING's products include:

· Agentic Wagering Pool: Betting on $DKING to deposit USDC into a liquidity pool managed by an autonomous betting Agent.

· The Terminal: $DKING holders can access a personal soccer AI Agent driven by Score's models.


While these products are not yet live, and DKING is still in its early stages, the team reportedly is collaborating with the second-largest sports hedge fund to explore potential capital allocations.

AION5100

@aion5100 is an AI Agent powered by @Playinfgames, running on Subnet 6 (SN6).

AION consists of 256 Very Large Language Models (VLLMs) that compete internally, generating up to one trillion synthetic scenarios per month to improve predictions. Its goal is to achieve full autonomy - by 2027, to be able to self-manage its keys, code, and funds.


AION has made seven Polymarket predictions, with mixed results (loss of $665, treasury of $9.2k). It has explored various markets - Bitcoin, egg prices, Apple releases, Super Bowl, among others.

While it is still hard to assess, it will be very interesting if a general model can outperform the investment returns of a specialized model in the long run.


AION has surged by 53% in the past week, driven by the GambleFAI narrative sparked by BILLY. Soon, holders will have access to a trading terminal providing insights on AION surpassing Polymarket.

Pauly from Robonet

@RoboNetHQ is developing an autonomous Agent driven by @AlloraNetwork's machine learning model.

Pauly is a flagship political trading Agent that participated in Polymarket's 2024 U.S. election market, achieving around 14% return over three months (approximately 68% annualized).


Pauly identifies market inefficiencies by comparing Allora Network's predictions with market pricing, dynamically adjusting positions for optimal returns while minimizing risk.


Robonet recently announced Robonet 2.0, expanding its AI Agent ecosystem, providing different strategies and perspectives driven by @AlloraNetwork.

The Bigger Picture

Three major trends can be observed from these developments:

· Market consolidation around fundamentals: Profitable AI Agents are taking center stage, akin to real-world business models.

· Machine learning models offer much-needed practicality: AI enhances the predictive accuracy of Agents, increasing potential returns.

· Bittensor subnets and Allora ML models are driving innovation: These infrastructures provide predictive capabilities, supporting specialization and product-market fit. (We see @virtuals_io and @CreatorBid continue to integrate more subnets within their ecosystem)

Conclusion

In order to survive in this market, an AI Agent must generate real revenue. Merely dancing and making noise is no longer effective. The Agent must capture market insights and profit from them, providing tangible advantages and solving real-world problems.

GambleFAI is still in the early stages of the narrative, but autonomous gambling Agents are proving they can outperform ordinary gamblers, creating excess returns.

If the market continues to range-bound and the AI Agent landscape remains fragmented, GambleFAI could become an alternative for those seeking alpha, an opportunity these gamblers cannot find in meme coins.

Original Article Link

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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