The Probability of a U.S. Interest Rate Hike Reaches 57%

By: ramzarz.news|2026/08/31 08:17:17

The probability of an interest rate hike at the September meeting has reached 57%. This change has boosted the dollar and the yield on Treasury bonds, putting additional pressure on Bitcoin and other risky assets. Coin Varsh, the Federal Reserve Chair, stated that if inflation does not return to the 2% target, continuing contractionary monetary policies will be necessary. Previously, the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike was about 35%, which has now risen to 57% to 59%. The yield on U.S. Treasury bonds has increased, and the dollar index remains close to its highest level in two weeks. This situation typically restricts global liquidity and raises the cost of holding non-yielding assets. Bitcoin had benefited in recent weeks from the dollar's decline and the Treasury Department's plan to increase the buyback of long-term bonds. However, with the likelihood of an interest rate hike, less capital is flowing into volatile assets. Additionally, rising oil prices have fueled concerns about persistent inflation. The yield on 10-year U.S. bonds is close to 4.73%, and the Treasury Department defends its plan to double the bond buyback. These two forces are acting in opposite directions, and the outcome of this struggle will impact the cryptocurrency market and the inflow or outflow of capital from Bitcoin funds.

-- Price

--
--
--

This content is provided for general informational purposes only and doesn't constitute financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. Any events, rewards, online promotions, or related information mentioned herein should not be considered a recommendation, solicitation, or invitation to purchase, sell, trade, or otherwise deal in any crypto assets. Crypto assets are highly volatile and may result in loss. The availability of WEEX services, products, and related events may vary by region. You are responsible for ensuring that your participation is in accordance with applicable local laws and regulations.

You may also like

$6,000 Scenario for Ethereum, $824.42 Million Net Inflow Recorded

💰 Last week, $824.42 million net inflow was recorded into U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs. 🚀 According to Tom Lee, Ethereum is expected to rise to $6,000. 📊 Lee considers the $ETH/BTC ratio of 0.04 as a conservative scenario. 🌐 Asset tokenization and AI agent finance are highlighted as significant trend...

[Block Media 1st Term 6th Reader Committee Meeting] "In-depth Articles Needed for Differentiation ⋯ Impressive Critique of Altcoin Listings by Chairperson Park Hyun-joo"

$924 Million Inflow into Bitcoin ETFs, Long Positions Increasing in Derivatives Market

💰 A net inflow of $924.48 million was recorded into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs last week. 📉 The amount of open Bitcoin positions decreased from 331,100 BTC to 318,600 BTC. ⚠️ The rise in funding rates raises the risk of a new squeeze in long positions. 🟠 Metaplanet CEO Simon Gerovich stated, "Bitcoin...

MetaPlanet CEO Claims BTC Has Passed the Bottom

Simon Gerovich, CEO of MetaPlanet, expressed the view that the price of Bitcoin (BTC) has passed its bottom. He noted that the representative of a Japanese listed Bitcoin financial company...

Bitcoin's All-Time High May Form in Q4 2027

Cryptocurrency Arbitrage and Price Scanning: How Quants Identify Inefficiencies in Funding Rates and Spreads Using Trading APIs

Cryptocurrency arbitrage scanners compare prices, funding rates, basis, and liquidity using trading APIs to identify inefficiencies after considering fees and risks.
...

Contents

Latest articles

More

Latest coin listings on WEEX

iconiconiconiconiconiconicon
Customer Support:@weikecs
Business Cooperation:@weikecs
Quant Trading & MM:bd@weex.com
VIP Program:support@weex.com